The Hill has a story about a poll done for Jim Walsh:
The poll, conducted by Dr. Jeffrey Stonecash of the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs at Syracuse University, shows Walsh leading Maffei by more than a 2-1 ratio across New York's 25th District.
Jack Cookfair, Walsh's media consultant, hired Stonecash to conduct the poll.
Jim Walsh is headed for a comfortable re-election victory this fall, Cookfair wrote in a memo to members of the Walsh for Congress finance committee. His across-the-board numbers are as strong as they've ever been, while the Democrat Dan Maffei has utterly failed to gain any traction whatsoever in the race.
The poll showed that 78 percent of respondents had not heard of Maffei and that 4 out of 5 agreed with the statement that Walsh is trying to do the right thing in Washington. It also showed Walsh drawing the support of 30 percent of Democrats surveyed.
Jim Bonham, Maffei's media consultant, questioned why the survey data were made public through a memo drafted by Walsh's media consultant and not by the pollster.
"He's only going to publish what's most favorable to his candidacy, said Bonham, who said that if nearly 80 percent of voters didn't know Maffei and Walsh led by around a 2-1 ratio, that would put the incumbent's reelection number the percentage of voters willing to reelect him over someone new at around 45.
Bonham said Maffei would gain ground by exposing Walsh's record of voting with [President] Bush 9 out of 10 times.
Walsh's people are obviously trying to change opinion that he is vulnerable, but actually this move suggests to me that he is more vulnerable than he wants to let on. I suspect the numbers show Walsh leading around 54 - 27, I also suspect all polling done in this race has shown numbers similar to that. Which would mean that Walsh's 125K media buy didn't move the numbers in the race. Up until after this poll was conducted Dan Maffei was preparing for a primary campaign, so what exactly has he done that would really move numbers? Nothing really, the media buy was small and wasn't going to move lots of people. In campaigns there are things a lot more important that horse race numbers at this point, like fundraising, organization and expectations, all three of which Dan Maffei has.
The question is, if Jim Walsh really isn't vulnerable, why leak this memo? If Walsh is impervious why not encourage the DCCC the target him, it would just force them to waste their resources. This ithought outther poorly thoughtout move by the Walsh camp, they keep trying to end Dan Maffei with ridiculous moves like this and the early media buy, but with the featherweight triumvirate of Dan Gage, Jack Cookfair and Jeff Stonecash heading up Walsh's campaign what do you expect?