Wednesday, April 19, 2006

Still On the Radar

The Hotline still has NY-25 ranked in the top 50 most competitive races. It comes in as the third most competitive in New York, the 37th most competitive Republican held seat, and the 27th most competitive seat held by a Republican running for re-election. Democrats lost 54 seats in 1994, and 34 Incumbent Democrats were defeated.

2 Comments:

At 11:17 AM, Blogger Orangeman said...

A point that needs to be made is that the 25th is one of only 16 seats nationwide that both Kerry and Gore won, but continues to be represented by a Republican. Historically, when there is a "re-alignment" election - like '72 (watergate) or '94 - the first incumbents to lose are those whose politics are inconsistent with the Presidential trends in their districts. Walsh is squarely in that category.

But, we can't just "Watch" Walsh - we need to nominate a candidate that can keep the attention of national opinion makers (like Chuck Todd at Hotline) and run a campaign that is credible. They say you can't beat somebody with nobody.

I worry the presence of multiple candidates in the primary is like a wet blanket when people like Todd handicap this race.

I say that once the party committees vote, the candidates should put their own ambitions aside for the greater good, try to sort out the primary, and then we can all focus against Walsh.

 
At 12:19 PM, Blogger The Watcher said...

I agree with your sentiment. In the past I have advocated getting behind the candidate who carries the committee vote. I have also tried to be as objective as possible with my blog so as not to damage any potential candidate incase they became the nominee. I think it is very important that we are behind a single candidate well before the primary.

 

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